With 2025 coming to an end, the former president's favorable approach towards digital currency has not proven to suffice to support the sector's advances, previously the source of market-wide hope and excitement. The final quarter of 2025 have seen an estimated $1 trillion in market capitalization wiped from the crypto market, even after bitcoin reaching a record peak of $126,000 in early October.
The October price peak was short-lived. Bitcoin’s price tumbled shortly afterward after an announcement of sweeping tariffs against Chinese goods sent shockwaves across the market in mid-October. Digital asset markets saw a staggering $19 billion wiped out in 24 hours – a record-setting forced selling event on record. Ethereum, saw a 40 percent decline in price over the next month.
The industry got the pro-bitcoin president it had anticipated during the campaign. Within days of taking office, an executive order was signed that repealed limitations against digital assets while enacting new favorable regulations as well as a federal task force focused on crypto.
“The digital asset industry plays a crucial role for technological progress and economic growth nationally, as well as our Nation’s international leadership,” stated the document.
Again in spring, a new strategic cryptocurrency reserve fueled a significant market surge, with values of select named coins soaring by over 60%. The leading cryptocurrency rose ten percent immediately after the reserve was announced.
Digital assets is sensitive to both narratives and confidence in global markets, said a leading analyst. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an asset which performs well during periods of optimism regarding economic conditions and are willing to assume greater risk.
“The current government may be pro-crypto, but tariffs and tight monetary policy outweigh positive vibes,” they continued. “And it’s also a stark reminder, particularly to people in crypto, that macro forces really matter more than political support.”
Later in the year, BTC suffered its most severe decline in value since 2021, bringing the coin’s value below $81,000. While it recovered a portion of the losses afterward, the start of the final month with another slump, a 6% drop triggered by a major corporate holder cutting its earnings forecast due to falling crypto prices. Its value now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers are concerned the sector may be heading into what's termed a prolonged bear market, an era of low activity or losses. The last such downturn lasted from the end of 2021 into 2023. Those years saw bitcoin slump approximately 70% in price.
“This latest collapse isn’t a change in sentiment, but a collision of several key issues: the lingering effects of a massive leverage washout; a risk-off rotation driven by geopolitical trade disputes; and, importantly, the possible unwinding of corporate crypto holdings,” explained a lab founder.
Another potential factor impacting the crypto market is the decline in share prices of artificial intelligence companies. “One of the reasons for the link to the AI cycle is that a lot of bitcoin miners have shifted their energy towards AI data centers,” an expert said. “Pessimism in tech tends to sneak into crypto.”
Amid the worries about a bear market, prominent leaders in the crypto space have expressed optimism in the future worth of Bitcoin. A top CEO said “there was no chance” the price of bitcoin would go to zero and in fact 2025 will be remembered as the time “when crypto went from a fringe market to a well-lit establishment”. Another pointed out growing interest from institutional investors.
Analysts suggest the current decline is not inconsistent with past market cycles , adding that a deeply prolonged downturn is not a certainty.
“If I was looking at it from standard market cycle, we are technically in a downtrend,” said one analyst. “But as you can see, despite these major headwinds impacting the market, bitcoin has still managed to set a price well above eighty thousand dollars.”